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I like statistics and financial data, so I will be posting a variety of information that I hope will be equally useful to others, even though perhaps not as exciting...

Property market analysis on the Costa del Sol - November 2018
17 November 2018

Real estate in Spain continues to be popular at a steady pace.

Property sale data for September 2018 and price data for the 2nd quarter of 2018 have been published by INE, the Spanish statistics institute. The annual variation of the price index (i.e. compared to the 2nd trimester of 2017) is 6.8%:

Property sales Spain 2018

Broken down by type, newly constructed properties have risen by 5.7% in price and resale properties by 7.0% annually.

When compared to the previous quarter, we also see the upward sloping trend continuing:

A positive trend for the last trimester, with a slight tendency to increase “speed”. The table below summarises the data:


 

 

 

Quarterly variation

Annual variation

Average index

 

2.6

6.8

New construction

 

2.6

5.7

Resale properties

 

2.6

7.0


 

Importantly, these price increases took place alongside an increased number of total sale operations, which is reassuring since it implies a broad market advance. The total purchase operations for September 2018 were 147,377, a 7.7% annual increase from 2017:

Property sales transactions 2018

This is a welcome reduction from the frenetic increase of April 2018 of 20%, which implies sales are still growing but at a more sustainable pace. The slight increase of interest rates might explain this cooling down.

Remember, this data is for the whole of Spain. The table below shows the breakdown by region, where you can see the Andalucia region has had intense activity:

Property transactions by region in Spain 2018

Worthy of note is the fact that 18.7% of the sales are for newly constructed properties (first occupancy). This has been approximately steady throughout the year 2018.

In coclusion, we would like to see this trend continuing positively. The cooler pace is a welcome development as it would mean a more sustainable recovery and obviate the need for raising interest rates.

Thanks for reading and please contact us if you have any questions, or visit our Costa del Sol properties website for more statistics: hbcostadelsolproperties.com 



Like 0        Published at 12:48   Comments (0)


Should I raise or should I lower my property's price?!
12 November 2018

As mentioned in a previous post, one of the datapoints I look out for when it comes to the Spanish real estate market, is price change requests by property owners. Clearly, in an upward trending market sellers would be more likely to raise their asking price after a few viewing appointments, so this provides us with an early signal of possible market turns: if sellers are not daring to raise their asking price, then price reductions might be round the corner.

I will compare the data of the previous article ( https://www.eyeonspain.com/blogs/spainstatistics/17316/to-sell-your-costa-del-sol-property-raise-its-price.aspx ) with year 2018 data, and elaborate a bit more on the time a property spends on the market.

(the data is from a sample I have access to, not the totals of property sales on the Costa del Sol. It is however quite widespread geographically so I believe it is fairly representative)

1. How many decreased vs. how many increased

Properties sold at a price lower than the initial 1445
Properties sold at a price equal to the initial (changed, then changed back) 40
Properties sold at a price higher than the initial 435
Properties sold without a price change 4538

An impressive 22% of the price-changed properties sold at a higher price than their initial one. This is lower than in 2017, however still an indicator of a highly optimistic environment. Some of those price-increased properties were on the market for less than a month, for example in Estepona or Nueva Andalucia - the longest waiting periods were in Benalmadena, Benahavis, and Casares Playa. 60% of all properties examined were sold within less than a year. The hottest areas in that respect were Fuengirola, Calahonda and Malaga city, where around 80% of the properties were sold in less than a year.

2. The maximum amount of a price upward change

The highest upward price change was for a villa in El Rosario, by 310,000 euros, a 20% increase for that particular property. Again, some cooling down from 2017, which in my opinion indicates a healthier, non-bubbly market, while still on a positive trend. The highest average asking price increase was for townhouses for sale in Mijas, where 50% of the properties had their prices raised 27% on average and still were sold.

3. Similar time on the market

Of special interest to us this time, was drilling down to individual areas to see which were the most likely to "allow" an increase in asking price, while still being sold within a reasonable time. First the data:

Location  Min days to sell %age sold in less than a year
La Mairena 62 100
Malaga Centro 13 80
La Duquesa 46 71
Elviria 15 67
Fuengirola 27 67
Riviera del Sol 21 63
Mijas Costa 27 58
Benalmadena 70 47
Miraflores 21 40
Benalmadena Pueblo 69 40
The Golden Mile 12 38
Nueva Andalucía 31 33
Selwo 55 33
Estepona 37 29
Casares 53 25
Guadalmina Alta 63 20

Let's take the example of Fuengirola: of the properties whose owners realised they could demand more, 67% were still able to sell it within a year, and in some cases as early as 27 days! If you live in any of the above top competitive areas, consider revising your asking price!

As always, my disclaimer: the data sample is not encompasing the whole of the Costa, even though it is quite a varied sample. And I am presenting here data averages - individual properties will of course warrant individual prices. However, I hope this has been useful in giving you an idea of the current state of seller confidence in the property market on the Costa del Sol.

Thanks for reading, any questions below I will try to answer as soon as I can.

 

 



Like 0        Published at 22:01   Comments (0)


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