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What's really happening in the real estate world in Spain? The EOS Team are going to be keeping you up to date with everything that's happening from a market perspective.

Spanish home asking prices down 2-5 pct -Idealista
Thursday, September 25, 2008 @ 1:51 PM

The fall in asking prices for existing Spanish homes accelerated to as much as 5 percent in the third quarter of 2008, Spain's biggest property search website said on Wednesday.

Idealista.com said prices fell by between 2 and 5 percent compared to between 2 and 4 percent in the second quarter, but added final sale prices may have fallen further because the study is based on prices listed, not those which the buyer and seller finally agree.

The study, based on the cost per square metre of 77,402 homes advertised on its website, showed that prices in Barcelona fell 5.3 percent, Madrid 1.5 percent and in Valencia 2.4 percent.

In only 24 of Spain's 267 municipalities did the average price rise, it said. Most analysts say that Spanish house prices are 20-30 percent overvalued after a 10 year property boom fuelled by cheap credit and historically low interest rates.

The boom turned to bust last year as borrowing costs rose, the supply of new houses spiralled and house prices increased even further as a proportion of household income.

"For years we have seen an enormous effort on the part of the buyer to match asking prices, but now it is they (the sellers) who have to sacrifice to be in reach of what buyers can pay," said Idealista's head of research Fernando Encinar.

"The owner who really wants to sell his house will have to advertise it at a very attractive price if he wants to close the deal, discounting more than he could ever have imagined." (Reporting by Ben Harding) 

Source: Reuters



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2 Comments


Rob in Madrid said:
Thursday, September 25, 2008 @ 6:03 PM

I think 30% is being very generous. I've been through a housing crash (Southern Ontario late 80's) and when a bubble bursts prices always over shoot on the way down.

Add in the fact that prices to wages are seriously out of whack and the coast is a wall of concrete and you have a recipe for a major housing disaster.

I think a 50% decline is not out of order.

Secondly prices are not going to recover in the next few years, most housing crashes need 10-15 years just for prices to recover back to zero. I can see prices being down for a whole generation.


TP1 said:
Friday, September 26, 2008 @ 8:47 AM

I think Rob is being very pessimistic. I have never witnessed (thankfully) a sustained downward trend of property here in the UK ... I have only ever seen 1-2 years absolute max before the prices start to recover.

It's the way thinks work ... prices of everything gradually go up year upon year. There may be slight blips along the way ... but year on year prices rise - fact.

As far as property goes when wages increase (as they will) our buying power increases too (we can generally easily borrow 3 times salary) so for every 1000 increase in salary we can borrow an additional 3000 euros/pounds/dollars/etc. Thus the property price always appear to be out of step with wage inflation but it is only reaching it's natural level (due to the mortgage gearing effect) as it has being doing for countless years. I cannot see any reason why it will not in the future continue once this current financial crisis has blown over (sooner than we currently think judging by former blips in the 70's 80's and 90's).




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