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Spanish Home Prices Fall for Seventh Quarter as Slump Deepens
30 September 2009 @ 15:44

Sept. 30 (Bloomberg) -- Spanish home prices fell for a seventh quarter in the three months through June as mortgage lending contracted and the worst recession in 60 years pushed up unemployment.

The average price of new and used houses and apartments declined 0.4 percent from the previous quarter, when they fell 2.7 percent, the National Statistics Institute said today in an e-mailed statement. From a year earlier, prices dropped 7.7 percent, with the price of new homes falling 3.9 percent and existing houses declining 11.2 percent.

House prices more than doubled in the decade through 2007 amid falling interest rates and economic growth averaging almost 4 percent a year. The market had already started slowing when the global credit crisis hit, slashing lending, pushing real- estate companies into bankruptcy and leaving more than a million new homes unsold.

Spain, home to 11 percent of the European Union’s population, built more than 29 percent of all new homes in the EU from 2001 though 2007. That increased the number of unsold homes to as much as 1.6 million and outstripped annual demand of 218,482 units, according to R.R. de Acuna & Asociados, a property-research company. The excess supply will take six or seven years to be absorbed, the company’s president Fernando Rodriguez de Acuna said on Sept. 15.

The economy has been contracting since the second quarter of 2008, pushing the unemployment rate to 18.5 percent in July, and the Organization for Economic Cooperation and Development expects Spain to take longer than other European countries to recover from the recession. The number of mortgages issued for houses fell 19 percent in July from a year earlier and housing sales declined 20 percent, according to separate data from INE.

Standard & Poor’s forecasts Spanish house prices may fall 20 percent this year, followed by declines of 10 percent and 5 percent in the next two years, it said June 24.


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Polaris World said:
30 September 2009 @ 21:17

The National Statistics figures trail reality because they are distorted by off plan property purchases agreed several years ago. However they are catching up with what are probably the more realiable TINSA figures based on valuations which suggest falls of around 9% in the last 12 months. Generally we feel the worst is over although prices may drift down a little. There's a survey on our website currently standing at 46% of participants thinking prices will rise at the Polaris World resorts in the next 3 years. Economists usually underestimate the speed of decline and the speed of recovery. Look at the UK housing market in the last 6 months and name one economist who predicted it!

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